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detroit mercy vs wright state prediction and preview

Detroit Mercy Titans vs Wright State Raiders Prediction For the Horizon League Championship

Updated March 10, 2026 • 4 min read

The Horizon League championship game brings an intriguing showdown as Detroit Mercy meets Wright State on Tuesday night in Indianapolis. Detroit Mercy arrives with momentum after several strong performances late in the season, including a 70-64 victory over Robert Morris in the semifinal round. Wright State, the conference regular season champion, advanced with an impressive 103-90 win against Northern Kentucky and carries one of the most productive offenses in the league. With an automatic NCAA Tournament bid on the line, this Detroit Mercy vs Wright State game features two teams that know each other well and have already produced close battles this season.

Our Detroit Mercy vs Wright State Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Detroit Mercy Titans @ Wright State Raiders
  • Date & Time: Tuesday, March 10, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Corteva Coliseum, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Key Storylines

This championship game features two teams that have played well down the stretch. Detroit Mercy has won 4 of its last 5 games and just knocked off Robert Morris in the semifinals. The Titans have been competitive in tight contests and rely on balanced scoring and disciplined guard play.

Wright State finished the regular season atop the Horizon League standings with a 22-11 overall record and a 15-5 conference mark. The Raiders have won 4 straight games entering this matchup and are averaging more than 81 points per game. Their offense has been difficult to slow down during the tournament, highlighted by the 103-point performance against Northern Kentucky.

The teams split their regular-season meetings. Detroit Mercy won the most recent meeting 77-74, while Wright State took the earlier contest. Historically, the Raiders have held the edge in the series with 8 wins in the last 10 meetings.

Key Players

Wright State Raiders

  • Michael Cooper leads Wright State with about 13.7 points per game while shooting nearly 45% from the field. His scoring ability from the perimeter helps stretch opposing defenses.
  • TJ Burch contributes around 13 points and 3.5 assists per game and serves as the primary facilitator in the Raiders offense.
  • Michael Imariagbe anchors the frontcourt with about 7 rebounds per game. His presence inside helps Wright State control the glass and create second-chance opportunities.

Detroit Mercy Titans

  • Orlando Lovejoy leads the Titans with about 15.5 points per game along with 3.7 assists. He is the primary offensive option and has been especially effective late in the season.
  • Legend Geeter averages around 6.4 rebounds per game and provides energy inside the paint.
  • Ryan Kalambay adds rim protection with about 1.3 blocks per game, giving Detroit Mercy some defensive presence in the interior.

Stat Comparison

StatDetroit MercyWright State
Points per game77.781.2
Points allowed per game77.773.8
Team Field Goal %45%49%
Rebounds Per Game37.535.3
Assists Per Game13.113.9

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • The season series between these teams is split 1-1.
  • Both meetings between these teams were decided by three points or fewer.
  • Detroit Mercy is 18-9-1 against the spread this season.
  • Wright State is 18-12 against the spread for the year.

Detroit Mercy vs Wright State Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Detroit Mercy Titans, Wright State Raiders
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