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missouri vs arkansas preediction and preview

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers Prediction: Which SEC Team Will End Regular Season With a Win?

Updated March 7, 2026 • 4 min read

The SEC closes the regular season with a Saturday afternoon showdown as Arkansas visits Missouri on March 7. The Razorbacks arrive ranked 20th with a 22-8 record and strong positioning for the upcoming conference tournament, while Missouri sits at 20-10 and looks to rebound after a recent setback. These programs already met earlier in the season, a high-scoring contest that Arkansas won 94-86. With postseason seeding on the line and two offenses capable of filling the scoreboard, this Arkansas vs Missouri game is of vital importance on both sides.

Our Arkansas vs Missouri Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Arkansas Razorbacks @ Missouri Tigers
  • Date & Time: Saturday, March 7, 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, Missouri
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Key Storylines

Arkansas enters this contest in strong form after a dominant 105-85 victory over Texas. That performance showcased the Razorbacks’ offensive ceiling, as they ran the floor aggressively and shot the ball with efficiency. The win also kept Arkansas firmly in the race for the second seed in the SEC tournament.

Missouri, meanwhile, comes into the game after an 80-64 loss to Oklahoma. Despite that result, the Tigers have been competitive throughout the season and remain a difficult opponent at home. Their offense averages close to 80 points per game, and they have multiple scoring options capable of stretching a defense.

Another storyline is the contrast in offensive pace. Arkansas plays one of the more aggressive attacking styles in the conference, while Missouri is more balanced and methodical. If the Razorbacks can force turnovers and convert in transition as they did in the earlier meeting, they could dictate the flow of the game.

Key Players

Missouri Tigers

  • Mark Mitchell leads Missouri in scoring with 17.4 points per game while adding 5.2 rebounds and 3.6 assists. His ability to create offense and attack the rim makes him the focal point of the Tigers offense.
  • Jayden Stone averages 13.7 points per game and provides perimeter scoring that helps space the floor. When his outside shot is falling, Missouri becomes much harder to defend.
  • Trent Pierce contributes 10.6 points per game and adds valuable size and rebounding in the frontcourt. His work around the basket is important against an athletic Arkansas lineup.

Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Darius Acuff Jr. drives the Razorbacks offense with 22.2 points and 6.4 assists per game. He is also the team’s top three-point shooter with 2.4 made threes per game.
  • Trevon Brazile averages 12.9 points and 7.1 rebounds per contest while anchoring the defense. He also contributes 1.6 blocks and 1.5 steals per game.

Stat Comparison

StatArkansasMissouri
Points per game90.379.8
Points allowed per game79.874.8
Team Field Goal %50%49%
Rebounds per game35.735.7
Assists per game17.214.4

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Arkansas won the previous meeting this season by a score of 94-86.
  • Arkansas is 20-10 against the spread going into this matchup.
  • Missouri enters Saturday afternoon with a record of 14-16 against the spread.

Arkansas vs Missouri Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Arkansas Razorbacks, Missouri Tigers
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