The Little Rock Trojans and the Lindenwood Lions face off on Wednesday in an Ohio Valley Conference Tournament opener that could set the tone for both teams’ postseason aspirations. Lindenwood enters with a winning record and momentum from a convincing victory to close the regular season, while Little Rock is looking to extend an underdog run that saw them clinch a tournament berth despite a sub .500 record. Before tip-off in Evansville, continue reading to find my Little Rock vs Lindenwood prediction right here.
Our Little Rock vs Lindenwood Pick
Pick:
Confidence: 3.5 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Little Rock Trojans @ Lindenwood Lions
- Date & Time: Wednesday, March 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ford Center, Evansville, Indiana
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Both teams split their regular-season series and have won on the road against the other, adding intrigue to this neutral-site tournament opener.
- Lindenwood concluded its regular season with a dominant 91-69 win over Western Illinois that showcased its offensive potential.
- Little Rock is coming in as a No. 7 seed with mixed results but has won three of its last six to secure postseason play.
Key Players
Lindenwood Lions
- Anias Futrell: The Lions’ leading scorer, averaging about 17.9 points per game, and six rebounds, Futrell can take over offensively and stretch defenses with his shooting.
- Dontrez Williams: A consistent scorer over the last ten games, averaging around 15.6 points, who also contributes steals and defensive energy.
- Mekhi Cooper: Handles playmaking duties with roughly 4.1 assists per game, helping manage the Lions’ offense.
Little Rock Trojans
- Johnathan Lawson: The All-OVC First Team selection and Little Rock’s top scorer at roughly 16.2 points per game. Lawson is the focal point of the Trojans’ offense.
- Cameron Wallace: Offers a dual threat with scoring and rebounding, averaging about 12.6 points and 6.9 boards, and has been key in clutch moments.
- Kachi Nzeh: A perimeter threat, averaging close to 1.8 made three-pointers over recent games, a stat that can swing momentum if he heats up.
Stat Comparison
| Stat | Little Rock | Lindenwood |
|---|---|---|
| Points per Game | 70.8 | 78.3 |
| Points Allowed per Game | 74.2 | 73.2 |
| Team Field Goal % | 45% | 46% |
| Rebounds per Game | 33.3 | 38.7 |
| Assists per Game | 14.1 | 14.9 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- In recent meetings this season, the teams split their matchups, each winning on the other’s court.
- Little Rock is 12-17 against the spread going into conference tournament play.
- Lindenwood is 12-15-1 ATS going into this postseason matchup.
Little Rock vs Lindenwood Model Projection
Score Projection:
Win Probability:
Final Thoughts
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