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arkansas vs texas prediction and preview

Texas Longhorns vs Arkansas Razorbacks Pick & Prediction – 3/4/2026

Updated March 3, 2026 • 3 min read

Wednesday’s Southeastern Conference showdown between the Texas Longhorns and the Arkansas Razorbacks in Fayetteville is one of the more intriguing late-season battles on the college basketball calendar. Arkansas enters as the home favorite and looks to protect a sterling 15-1 home record, while improving its SEC seeding. Texas is 18-11 after a key 76-70 victory over Texas A&M, and is trying to solidify its NCAA Tournament resume and carry momentum into postseason play with a win in this Texas vs Arkansas contest.

Our Texas vs Arkansas Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Texas Longhorns @ Arkansas Razorbacks
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, March 4, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

  • Arkansas seeks to rebound from a lopsided loss to No. 7 Florida while protecting a near-perfect home record.
  • Texas enters on a high after a crucial win over Texas A&M that boosted its NCAA Tournament chances.
  • This is the first meeting of the season between the two teams in conference play.
  • Razorbacks’ offense ranks among the SEC’s most potent, while the Longhorns boast strong scoring balanced across several players.
  • Arkansas is in third place in the SEC going into Wednesday’s play and a win here would move them closer to locking up a top-three seed in the upcoming SEC tournament.

Key Players

  • Arkansas Razorbacks
    • Darius Acuff Jr. leads the Razorbacks with 22 points per game. He also leads his team with 6.2 assists per game and will have to find good shots for himself and his teammates for the Razorbacks to continue their winning ways at home.
    • Trevon Brazile is the leading rebounder for Arkansas with 7.1 boards per game and John Calipari’s team could use another big night from him in the paint.
  • Texas Longhorns
    • Dailyn Swain leads Texas in points, rebounds, and assists per game this season. The success of the Longhorns depends so heavily on him and he will have to be at or near his best for Texas to figure out a way to get a win on Wednesday night.

Stat Comparison

StatisticTexasArkansas
Points per game84.389.8
Points allowed per game75.579.7
Team Field Goal %49%50%
Rebounds per game38.135.8
Assists per game12.117.1

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • This is the first matchup this season between Texas and Arkansas.
  • Arkansas is 19-10 against the spread so far this season.
  • Texas enters this matchup with a 16-12 record against the spread for the year.

Texas vs Arkansas Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Gus Anderson

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Tags: Arkansas Razorbacks, Texas Longhorns
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