This Tuesday, the Kansas Jayhawks will travel to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in an important Big 12 contest that could have implications for both teams’ positioning heading into postseason play. Kansas enters this game with a stronger overall record and more consistent results in conference play, while Arizona State has struggled and sits below .500 in Big 12 action. Here, I take a closer look at Kansas vs Arizona State and make my pick in the betting markets.
Our Kansas vs Arizona State Pick
Pick: Kansas -5.5
Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kansas Jayhawks @ Arizona State Sun Devils
- Date & Time: Tuesday, March 3, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, Arizona
- Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
- Kansas has positioned itself as one of the stronger teams in the Big 12 with a record significantly above .500 in conference play and a knack for winning close games late in the season. They are still in the mix to finish second, but would need to keep winning and get some help to reach that point.
- Arizona State has struggled to find consistent success, posting a losing conference record and facing defensive issues that opposing offenses have exploited.
- The Jayhawks’ ability to score at a reliable clip and limit opponents’ efficiency makes them the favorite in this matchup, especially on the road.
Key Players
Arizona State Sun Devils
- Moe Odum: Leads the team with about 17.2 points per game, along with around 5.9 assists. His role as both scorer and facilitator is critical for ASU’s offense.
- Massamba Diop: The team’s top rebounder with roughly 5.9 boards per game, providing interior presence and second-chance opportunities.
Kansas Jayhawks
- Darryn Peterson: The leading scorer for Kansas, averaging approximately 19.5 points per game, he is the primary offensive threat and a key reason the Jayhawks can put pressure on opposing defenses. As long as he remains available, Kansas is a much more dangerous team.
- Flory Bidunga: A multi-faceted forward contributing roughly 9 rebounds per game alongside his scoring, giving Kansas an advantage on the boards.
- Melvin Council Jr.: Contributes around 5.1 assists per game, helping Kansas maintain ball movement and control tempo.
Stat Comparison
| Statistic | Kansas | Arizona State |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 76.1 | 77.9 |
| Points Allowed Per Game | 68.7 | 78.2 |
| Team Field Goal % | 46% | 45% |
| Rebounds Per Game | 38.1 | 33.1 |
| Assists Per Game | 14.4 | 14.1 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- This is the first meeting between these teams so far this season.
- Kansas is 18-11 against the spread so far this year.
- Arizona State has an 18-10-1 record against the spread entering this matchup.
Kansas vs Arizona State Model Projection
Score Projection: Kansas 80 – Arizona State 72
Win Probability: Kansas 68%, Arizona State 32%
Final Thoughts
Kansas appears well-positioned to secure a victory in this Big 12 showdown thanks to its superior defense, rebounding, and balanced scoring. While Arizona State can score in bunches and make things interesting, the Jayhawks’ consistency and ability to limit opponent efficiency make them the recommended pick from me.
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