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Colorado Buffaloes vs Houston Cougars cbb betting preview and prediction

Colorado Buffaloes vs Houston Cougars Prediction & Picks – 2/28/2026

Updated February 28, 2026 • 3 min read

Saturday’s Big 12 men’s college basketball schedule features an intriguing battle when the Colorado Buffaloes hit the road to face the No. 5-ranked Houston Cougars on February 28, 2026. Houston has been one of the most consistent teams in the country this season, while Colorado has shown signs of life at times but remains a step behind in terms of overall performance. With Houston still in the hunt for a Big 12 regular season title and Colorado trying to gain ground in the conference standings, this game could tell us plenty about where both teams stand as we approach March. Oddsmakers list Houston as a heavy favorite, but Buffaloes fans hope their squad can keep this within striking distance.

Our Colorado vs Houston Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 4 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Colorado Buffaloes @ Houston Cougars
  • Date & Time: Saturday, February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Fertitta Center, Houston, Texas
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

Key Storylines

  • Houston comes into this game ranked in the top 5 nationally with a 23-5 overall record and an 11-4 mark in Big 12 play. Despite dropping some recent games against ranked competition, the Cougars still control their own destiny in the conference.
  • Colorado enters with a 16-12 overall record and a 6-9 Big 12 record, with inconsistency plaguing the Buffaloes in key moments.
  • Houston has won the last two meetings against Colorado, including a Big 12 Championship quarterfinal matchup last year.

Key Players

Houston Cougars

  • Kingston Flemings (G): Leads the team with 16.6 points and 5.1 assists per game while also contributing 1.6 steals, making him the catalyst for Houston’s offense and an important playmaker on both ends of the floor.
  • Emanuel Sharp (G): Houston’s top threat from beyond the arc, averaging 2.7 made three-pointers per contest. His outside shooting helps stretch defenses and creates space for drives and inside scoring.
  • Chris Cenac Jr. (F/C): Anchors the frontcourt with 7.8 rebounds per game and solid interior presence. His ability to clean the glass gives Houston extra possessions and helps them control the tempo.

Colorado Buffaloes

  • Isaiah Johnson (G): Colorado’s leading scorer at 16.3 points per game, capable of creating his own shot and hitting from long range. He provides leadership and scoring punch for the Buffaloes.
  • Bangot Dak (F): A solid contributor with 10.8 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. His size and rebounding help Colorado stay competitive on the boards.
  • Barrington Hargress (G): Facilitates the offense with 4.4 assists per game and provides scoring with 14.2 points per contest. His ability to distribute under pressure will be critical.

Stat Comparison

StatColoradoHouston
Points per game80.176.6
Points allowed per game77.962.3
Team Field Goal %46.8%44.4%
Rebounds Per Game35.136.9
Assists Per Game15.714.9

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Last season, Houston won both regular-season and Big 12 tournament meetings against Colorado.
  • Houston is 14-14 against the spread this season.
  • Colorado is also 14-14 against the spraed for the year.

Colorado vs Houston Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Jake Williams

Jake Williams is a sports gambling expert with over a decade in the sports betting and DFS spaces. His main sports are basketball and football (real original), but he has also branched out into handicapping hockey, baseball, and plenty of niche sports as well. He is a fan of the Tennessee Volunteers, even though they have hurt him time and time again.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Colorado Buffaloes, Houston Cougars
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