The women’s freestyle skiing big air competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milan-Cortina is expected to be one of the most unpredictable snow events of these Games. Scheduled for February 14 and 16 at the Livigno Snow Park, this discipline features athletes launching off massive jumps, spinning and flipping in the air before nailing landings under pressure. But all of that is easier said than done on this big stage. Before the action begins, you will find my women’s big air predictions below.
Olympic Women’s Big Air Betting Odds
Below are the current outright betting odds for the women’s big air event at the 2026 Winter Olympics.
- Eileen Gu (China) +150
- Mathilde Gremaud (Switzerland) +200
- Kirsty Muir (Great Britain) +800
- Giulia Tanno (Switzerland) +1000
- Olivia Asselin (Canada) +1200
- Marin Hamill (USA) +1400
- Sandra Eie (Norway) +1600
- Elena Gaskell (Canada) +2000
- Sarah Hoefflin (Switzerland) +2000
- Anni Karava (Finland) +2500
- All Others +5000 or more
Olympic Women’s Big Air Major Storylines
One of the most compelling stories entering these Olympics is the presence of Eileen Gu, who won gold in this event at the 2022 Winter Games and is trying to add another big air title to her resume. Gu’s star power is enormous, and her ability to execute high-difficulty tricks has made her a perennial favorite in multiple freestyle disciplines. At the 2026 Olympic slopestyle final, she narrowly missed gold, finishing second, evidence that she remains in peak competitive shape.
Another major storyline is the resurgence of Mathilde Gremaud of Switzerland. Gremaud successfully defended her slopestyle title earlier in these Games, illustrating her consistency and technical prowess. Her big air odds position her as the second favorite, and she has proven she can contend for medals across multiple freestyle disciplines. The proximity of her slopestyle performance to Gold suggests her confidence is high heading into big air.
On the breakout front, Canadian skier Megan Oldham has been steadily rising in big air competition. Her World Cup performances and podium appearances this season have made her a threat, and she sits among the contenders with a solid set of tricks that could push her onto the podium if conditions align. Similarly, Britain’s Kirsty Muir has delivered recent World Cup results, including a big air win at a World Cup event, which provides a strong case for her inclusion in day-of competition predictions.
Athletes like Giulia Tanno, Olivia Asselin, Marin Hamill, and Sandra Eie round out the extended field with longer odds but strong potential to surprise. In big air, a single exceptional run can vault a competitor into medal consideration, so bettors need to weigh not only consistency but peak scoring ability.
Olympic Women’s Big Air Medal Contenders
- Eileen Gu – China’s top seed with Olympic experience and demonstrated ability to land world-class tricks in pressure moments.
- Mathilde Gremaud – Coming off a strong Olympic showing in slopestyle and consistently technical across freestyle events.
- Megan Oldham – Canadian threat with World Cup podium success and big air skillset that can rival the favorites.
- Kirsty Muir – A rising star whose big air win earlier in the season highlights her potential if she brings her top jumps to Livigno.
- Giulia Tanno / Olivia Asselin – Both possess the capability to break into the top five with the right runs, offering value for higher-risk wagers.
Freestyle Skiing Women’s Big Air Betting Prediction
Pick:
Confidence: 4.2 out of 5
