The Olympic women’s 10km + 10km skiathlon in Milan–Cortina is the opening event in cross-country skiing at these games, scheduled to take place on February 7 at the Tesero Cross-Country Skiing Stadium. With the race combining both classic and freestyle techniques over a demanding 20km course, this event will test stamina and race strategy. Sweden has its sights set on a podium sweep in this event, but an experienced American skier will try to crash the party. Before this event begins, you can continue reading to get my prediction in the women’s skiathlon.
Olympic Women’s 10km + 10km Skiathlon Betting Odds
Below are some of the current betting odds for the women’s 10km + 10km skiathlon at the 2026 Winter Games. These odds are subject to change as the competition approaches:
- Jonna Sundling (SWE): +325
- Ebba Andersson (SWE): +350
- Jessica Diggins (USA): +350
- Frida Karlsson (SWE): +500
- Heidi Weng (NOR): +700
- Moa Ilar (SWE): +900
- Astrid Oeyre Slind (NOR): +1100
- Teresa Stadlober (AUT): +2500
- Karoline Simpson-Larsen (NOR): +2500
- Kristin Austgulen Fosnaes (NOR): +5000
- Kerttu Niskanen (FIN): +8000
- All Others: +10000 or more
Olympic Women’s Skiathlon Storylines
One of the major storylines of this year’s women’s skiathlon is Jessie Diggins’ bid for individual Olympic gold in her final Games. Entering the event as the top-ranked woman in distance skiing, she won the skiathlon at a World Cup event in Trondheim late in the season and showcased consistent podium form. She is a legitimate gold medal threat going into this race. Her run in the Tour de Ski and recent 20km podium finishes further support her credentials as one of the frontrunners.
Sweden’s Jonna Sundling and Ebba Andersson form a powerful Scandinavian duo. Sundling, traditionally known as a sprint specialist, has continued to demonstrate endurance strength in classic and freestyle formats. Andersson has been a perennial podium presence on the World Cup circuit with strong results across multiple distance events. Frida Karlsson and Moa Ilar are also firmly in medal contention for Sweden going into this race.
Another compelling storyline is Norway’s Heidi Weng, whose career includes multiple World Cup victories and a history of strong skiathlon results. Although her odds are slightly longer than the Swedish and American favorites, Weng’s experience makes her a potential dark horse capable of moving into one of the podium positions.
Olympic Women’s Skiathlon Medal Contenders
- Jessica Diggins (USA): The most decorated American cross-country skier, Diggins arrives with elite results, including a recent World Cup skiathlon win and top finishes in distance events throughout the season. Her veteran savvy, strong aerobic capacity, and familiarity with racing in different weather conditions position her squarely in gold medal contention.
- Jonna Sundling (SWE): A medalist at major events previously, Sundling’s sprint speed, paired with improved distance endurance, makes her a legitimate contender for a first-place finish, and her ability to perform across classic and freestyle disciplines adds to her appeal in this mixed-technique race.
- Ebba Andersson (SWE): Consistently near the top in World Cup standings and skiathlon races, Andersson’s steady pacing and strategic skill could see her challenge for a podium spot, especially if the early classic section plays to her strengths.
- Frida Karlsson (SWE): Known for her toughness and strong finishing kick, Karlsson may not be the betting favorite, but her ability to surge late makes her a genuine medal dark horse.
- Heidi Weng (NOR): With extensive experience and previously strong World Cup skiathlon results, Weng’s track record makes her a contender for the podium, especially if this race is tight down the stretch.
Women’s Skiathlon Betting Prediction
Pick:
Confidence: 3/5
Final Thoughts
