Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Pick & Prediction – 2/7/2026

Saturday brings a Lone Star showdown in the NBA as the Dallas Mavericks visit the San Antonio Spurs. San Antonio has surged into the West’s top tier behind Victor Wembanyama and an improved defense, while Dallas has leaned on wunderkind Cooper Flagg to keep games competitive through a ton of roster issues. Before this game begins in San Antonio, continue reading to find my Mavericks vs Spurs prediction in a star-studded Western Conference matchup.

Our Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Pick

Pick:

Confidence: 4/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs
• Date & Time: Saturday, February 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
• Broadcast: Prime Video

Key Storylines

• These teams are in very different positions in the Western Conference standings this season. The Spurs are second in the West and just beat the first-place Oklahoma City Thunder for the fourth time in five tries. Dallas is outside of the top 10 in the Western Conference standings and will have their hands full in this contest.
• Star power: Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.2 points and 11.1 rebounds with elite rim protection. Cooper Flagg leads Dallas at 20.4 points per game with two-way impact and recent scoring outbursts, as he is the odds-on favorite to win this year’s Rookie of the Year award.
• Injuries and availability: Dallas has dealt with extended absences, including Dereck Lively II out for the season, P.J. Washington in concussion protocol, and other rotation question marks. Trading away Anthony Davis could make them a healthier basketball team in the long run. San Antonio has navigated occasional nicks but remains comparatively healthier.
• Dallas comes into this game on a six-game losing streak, while San Antonio has won three games in a row. If the Mavs want to end both of those streaks with a win here, they need to find a way to get scoring from sources other than Flagg.
• Pace and shot profile: Dallas can run in bursts but has been streaky from deep. San Antonio’s offense flows through Wembanyama’s gravity, guards who can get downhill, and outside shooters surrounding those key pieces.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• The Spurs are 2-0 against the Mavs so far this season, winning each of those first two meetings by double-digits.
• Dallas is 23-28 against the spread going into this contest.
• San Antonio enters this game with a 27-23-2 record against the spread.
• The under is 29-22 in Mavericks games this year.
• The under is 32-20 in San Antonio’s first 52 games of the campaign.

Mavericks vs Spurs Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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