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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction - 5/26/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Preview – 1/29/2026

Updated January 29, 2026 • 3 min read

Oklahoma City heads to Minneapolis for a matchup between star-studded rosters, as the Thunder take on the Timberwolves. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is authoring another MVP-level campaign, while Anthony Edwards carries Minnesota’s offense. Both teams enter this matchup in the top-six in the Western Conference. Who will get the win in this game? Find out below with my Thunder vs Timberwolves prediction in the NBA.

Our Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 4/5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Date & Time: Thursday, January 29, 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Broadcast: Prime Video

Key Storylines

  • Oklahoma City sits 38-10 with a 17-5 road record, while Minnesota stands 29-19 with a 16-8 mark at home.
  • Star power: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32 points and 6.2 assists per game to lead OKC. Anthony Edwards leads Minnesota at 29.7 points with the ability to create shots for himself at all three levels.
  • Interior battle: Chet Holmgren averages 8.7 boards per game and offers elite rim protection, but Rudy Gobert’s 11.3 rebounds and interior defense could make life tougher than usual for Holmgren and the Thunder.
  • Supporting cast: Julius Randle tops Minnesota in assists and is coming off a 31-point game against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday. Oklahoma City’s supporting cast features elite defenders like Lu Dort, who will try to make life tougher than usual for Edwards and the Wolves.
  • Injuries and availability: For OKC, Jalen Williams is listed out with a hamstring and Isaiah Hartenstein remains out with a calf issue. Alex Caruso is also out and Cason Wallace is questionable. For Minnesota, Terrence Shannon Jr. is listed as out with a foot concern. Edwards missed time earlier this month but has been back in action for the Timberwolves.
  • Situationally speaking, the Thunder have an edge thanks to the fact that the Timberwolves are on the second night of a back-to-back here. But the Thunder are also playing on the road in a very difficult venue for road teams to win in.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • These teams are 1-1 against each other so far this season.
  • The home team is 2-0 in games between the Thunder and Wolves this season.
  • OKC is 23-25 against the spread this season.
  • Minnesota enters this game with a 21-27 record against the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have stayed under the total in 26 of their 48 games.
  • The under is 25-23 in Thunder games this year.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Model Projection

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Minnesota Timberwolves, Oklahoma City Thunder
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