The Phoenix Suns will visit the Atlanta Hawks on Friday night in a key midseason matchup with implications for both teams’ playoff positioning. Phoenix enters the game riding a three‑game winning streak and looking to finish its lengthy East Coast trip on a high note, while the Hawks aim to protect their home court and remain in the top 10 in the Eastern Conference standings. Here, I’ve broken this game down and you’ll find my Suns vs Hawks prediction right here.
Our Suns vs Hawks Pick
Pick: Phoenix Suns -3.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks
- Date & Time: Friday, January 23, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Suns have won three straight games and are enjoying improved offensive balance, including strong scoring from Devin Booker and boosted depth with Jalen Green returning from a hamstring injury. Green’s return has added scoring and wing versatility that Phoenix lacked earlier this season. The Suns will try and grab a fourth win in a row in this contest against a Hawks team that isn’t as healthy as the Suns are.
- Atlanta has struggled at home this year, owning a 7‑13 record in front of its home crowd, but it still generates efficient offense through strong assist numbers and ball movement led by Jalen Johnson. The Hawks’ offense ranks among the top teams in the league in creating open looks and finding cutters. But their defense has struggled mightily throughout the season and that could be a problem for them against this Suns team.
- The Hawks are dealing with some health issues that will impact their starting lineup here. Zaccharie Risacher is out with a knee injury, while Kristaps Porzingis is out with an Achilles ailment. While Johnson and Dyson Daniels have both been excellent this year, missing two starters is tough for any team to overcome.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- In their previous meeting this season, the Hawks defeated the Suns in a high‑scoring contest, winning 124‑122 in Phoenix.
- The Suns are an NBA-best 31-13 against the spread so far this season.
- The Hawks are 22-24 against the spread going into Friday night’s action.
- The under is 25-19 in games involving the Suns this season.
- Atlanta is 24-22 to the over so far this year.
Suns vs Hawks Model Projection
Score Projection: Phoenix Suns 119 – Atlanta Hawks 114
Win Probability: Phoenix Suns 62%, Atlanta Hawks 38%
Final Thoughts
I project a win and a cover for the Phoenix Suns as a slight favorite on the road on Friday night. The Hawks are missing a couple of key contributors of late and that should hurt them once again tonight. The Hawks’ inexplicable struggles on their home floor should continue in this game against a Suns team that is finally healthy and complete once again.
