The Utah State Aggies and Colorado State Rams will meet in a Mountain West Conference matchup on Friday night. The Aggies have lost two games in a row going into this matchup after a 15-1 start to the season. They will attempt to get back on track against a Colorado State team that has a losing record in conference play early in the year. Before this game tips off in the Mountain West, I’ve got you covered with my Utah State vs Colorado State prediction right here.
Our Utah State vs Colorado State Pick
Pick: Utah State -3.5
Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Utah State Aggies @ Colorado State Rams
- Date & Time: January 23, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moby Arena, Fort Collins, Colorado
- Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
Utah State has been one of the Mountain West’s most consistent squads this season, sporting a strong 15-3 overall record and going 6-2 in conference games. They have been efficient on both ends of the floor, averaging 84.8 points per game while limiting opponents to under 70 points per game.
They have received key production from stars such as MJ Collins Jr. and Mason Falslev, both of whom bring scoring and leadership for the Aggies. However, the Aggies are coming off two straight losses, including a setback at home where they lost to UNLV. For Utah State to bounce back here, their defense will need to step up after allowing 85 points per game over the last two games.
Colorado State enters this matchup following an authoritative 81-52 triumph over Air Force that saw the Rams assert themselves from the opening tip. That result snapped a two-game losing streak in conference play, but overall, CSU has been inconsistent in Mountain West contests this year. Their offense remains capable, particularly from beyond the arc, but defensive lapses and turnover issues have hindered them against higher-quality teams.
The home court at Moby Arena typically gives the Rams a lift, where they’ve performed well historically. They are 8-3 in their home games so far this year and they will try to use their home-court advantage to pull off an upset in this game.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Colorado State is 37-35 all-time against Utah State.
- Utah State defeated Colorado State 100-58 in their first matchup of the 2025-26 season.
- Utah State is 8-9 against the spread so far this season.
- Colorado State is 11-7 against the spread entering this matchup.
- The over is 10-7 in games involving Utah State this year.
- Colorado State is 10-8 to the over so far this season.
Utah State vs Colorado State Model Projection
Score Projection: Utah State 82 – Colorado State 75
Win Probability: Utah State 64%, Colorado State 36%
Final Thoughts
Utah State destroyed Colorado State in their first meeting of the season. And while I think we will get a more competitive game this time around, I’m still going to lay the points with the Aggies in this Mountain West matchup. Utah State is outscoring opponents by just over 16 points per game and they should put forth a strong showing here to end their two-game losing streak.
