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manchester city vs manchester united prediction and preview

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Preview – 1/17/2026

Updated January 16, 2026 • 4 min read

The center of the Premier League universe this weekend is Manchester, as Manchester United host Manchester City in the Manchester Derby on Saturday at Old Trafford. This clash features a resurgent City side that sits second in the table and is unbeaten across all competitions in 13 matches, while United look to rediscover its form amid a managerial change. The derby always carries an intensity unmatched in the English top flight, and this edition promises nothing less. Continue reading to get my Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction for Saturday.

Our Manchester United vs Manchester City Pick

Pick:
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Confidence:4/5

Manchester United vs Manchester City Match Preview

Saturday’s Manchester Derby at Old Trafford pits a Manchester United side in transition against a Manchester City team with title ambitions. United hired Michael Carrick as interim manager following a recent managerial departure for Ruben Amorim, and he will oversee his first derby in this game. United’s recent league form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last six Premier League outings, including several draws that have cost them dearly in the table. They also exited the FA Cup with a loss to Brighton in their last outing, underlining the need for change.

Manchester City come into this match second in the Premier League table, trailing leaders Arsenal by six points. Their recent domestic cup performances underline the depth and quality within their squad, as they outscored Newcastle and Exeter by a combined 12-1 in FA Cup and Carabao Cup action this past week. Despite drawing their last three Premier League matches, City still possesses significant attacking firepower and tactical discipline under Pep Guardiola’s guidance. This derby provides a chance for City to make up ground in the title race while maintaining their unbeaten status of late.

United have struggled to find the net at home in recent Manchester Derby matches, failing to score in four of their last five league meetings with their rivals at Old Trafford. This trend speaks to the challenge facing United’s attack as they look to turn their season around here.

City’s attack appears to have a new star in Antoine Semenyo. The Bournemoth transfer has scored in each of his first two matches in sky blue, including City’s 10-1 thrashing of Exeter (which I happened to be in the Etihad for). City has also signed Marc Guehi from Crystal Palace to round out a busy winter transfer window, which they hope will yield more silverware at the end of this season.

Betting Trends & H2H

  • City has not lost a match since November 25, 2025, going 10-0-3 in their last 13 games.
  • United has not won a match since December 26, 2025, going 0-1-3 in their last 4 games.
  • These rivals are 1-1-1 against each other in their last three Premier League matches.

Manchester Derby Prediction

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Manchester United vs Manchester City Model Projection

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Manchester City, Manchester United, Premier League
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