Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction – 12/16/2025

The NHL regular season continues with an interesting Tuesday night matchup as the Edmonton Oilers travel to PPG Paints Arena to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Both clubs are in playoff contention to this point in the season but are in need of wins to avoid falling behind the rest of their competition in games like this one. Here, I break down this matchup in the betting markets and give you my Oilers vs Penguins prediction on the ice.

Our Oilers vs Penguins Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date & Time: Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 7:30 PM
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Broadcast: TNT

Key Storylines

Recent form

The Oilers arrive in Pittsburgh in noticeably better form than their hosts. Edmonton has won two of its last three games recently, including a 6-3 performance in Toronto where Connor McDavid tallied two goals and an assist. Zach Hyman has also delivered consistently on the scoresheet, reinforcing Edmonton’s attack. The Oilers have a 6-3-1 record over their last 10 games, averaging over four goals per contest, and are trending upward offensively.

Pittsburgh enters in the middle of a slump, having lost its last five games. Recent setbacks include a 5-4 overtime loss to the Mammoth where the Penguins surrendered a big lead. This tough stretch has seen Pittsburgh struggle to close out games and maintain consistency, even though they have secured a point in four of their last five games.

Goaltending

One of the most intriguing aspects of this game is the recent goaltending shuffle between these teams. Edmonton acquired veteran goaltender Tristan Jarry from Pittsburgh, and he has already made his Oilers debut, stopping 25 shots in a win. Pittsburgh brought in ex-Oiler Stuart Skinner, who will start for the Penguins. Skinner posted respectable numbers earlier this season and he will try to provide a spark for the Pens in net here.

Key skaters

Connor McDavid continues to operate at an elite level and remains the focal point of Edmonton’s attack. He is up to 52 points so far this season and will try to make an impact on this game as well. Leon Draisaitl complements McDavid with his playmaking ability and scoring support.

On the Penguins side, Sidney Crosby is still producing offensively and nearing significant franchise milestones. Bryan Rust has been a reliable scorer at home, and rookie Ben Kindel has chipped in valuable offense. However, Pittsburgh is without Evgeni Malkin, which has held them back lately.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• This is the first of two regular-season games scheduled between the Penguins and Oilers.
• The Oilers are 13-19 on the puckline this season.
• Edmonton has gone over the total 18 times in their 32 games.
• Pittsburgh is 22-9 in the puckline market going into Tuesday’s game.
• The Penguins are 16-15 on over/unders this season, favoring the over just slightly.

Oilers vs Penguins Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.