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Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers Pick - 3/16/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction – 12/1/2025

Updated December 1, 2025 • 3 min read

The Phoenix Suns head to Crypto.com Arena to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday night in a high‑stakes Western Conference showdown. The Lakers seek to extend their seven‑game winning streak, while the Suns are attempting to bounce back from a rough stretch against some of the elite teams in the West. Before tip-off on Monday night, you can continue reading to find my Suns vs Lakers prediction below.

Our Suns vs Lakers Pick

Pick: Lakers –4.5
Confidence: 4 out of 5

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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers
  • Date & Time: Monday, December 1, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
  • Broadcast: Peacock

Suns vs Lakers Odds

SpreadMoneylineTotal
Lakers –4.5Lakers –198, Suns +164234.5

Key Storylines

  • The Lakers arrive riding a seven‑game win streak, most recently demolishing the New Orleans Pelicans 133–121.
  • Despite sitting out injured in the Pelicans game, LeBron James’ status for this contest remains uncertain. If he plays, that would be huge for the Lakers. If not, we will see Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves carrying a heavy load offensively.
  • The Suns are dealing with multiple injuries as well. Jalen Green is out and Ryan Dunn is listed as questionable, which could cause them problems.
  • The Suns have dropped three of their last four games. Those losses came against the Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City Thunder, and Denver Nuggets. The Suns will try to prove that they can hang with an elite team in this game after struggling against a weak schedule.
  • This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Lakers after they demolished the Pelicans at home on Sunday.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • This is the first of four regular-season meetings between the Suns and Lakers this year.
  • The Lakers are 7-2 at home this season, while the Suns are 4-5 on the road.
  • The Lakers are 13-6 against the spread so far this season.
  • The Suns are 14-7 against the spread going into Monday night’s game in Los Angeles.
  • The Lakers have gone over the total in 13 of their first 19 games.
  • The under has hit in 11 of the 21 games the Suns have played in this year.

Best Player Props to Watch

PlayerProp to Watch
Luka DončićOver 32.5 Points
Devin BookerOver 26.5 Points
Austin ReavesOver 2.5 Made Threes

Suns vs Lakers Model Projection

Score Projection: Phoenix Suns 114 – Los Angeles Lakers 121

Win Probability: Suns 31%, Lakers 69%

Final Thoughts

The Lakers being on the second game of a back-to-back concerns me a bit heading into this game. But I’m going to lay the points with the Lakers anyway, as they should be able to get the better of Phoenix whether or not LeBron James takes the floor. There just isn’t enough around Devin Booker right now to beat the league’s best teams and that should remain the case in the final game on the schedule in the NBA on Monday night.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Los Angeles Lakers, Phoenix Suns
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