Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction – 11/20/2025

The Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies will meet in Thursday night in the NBA. Both of these teams are off to disappointing starts to their seasons in a very competitive Western Conference. But someone has to win tonight and we will try to determine which team that will be by making our Kings vs Grizzlies prediction below.

Our Kings vs Grizzlies Pick

Pick: Grizzlies –2.5
Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies
• Date & Time: Thursday, November 20, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
• Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

• Grizzlies Banged Up: Memphis is shorthanded. Ja Morant is out for at least a couple of weeks with a right calf strain. Jaren Jackson Jr. is listed as day-to-day with a sprained ankle. Brandon Clarke remains on the shelf with a knee issue, and Javon Small is also out.
• Kings in Freefall: Sacramento has lost seven games in a row and sits at 3–12, putting pressure on young coach Doug Christie. Their poor defensive starts and uneven rotations are raising questions about their long-term ceiling. Even the players and coaches have been critical of their effort on the defensive end of the floor.
• High Stakes Even Early: While it’s still early, both clubs need momentum badly. The Grizzlies are underperforming relative to expectations, and another loss could further erode morale. The Kings also had their sights set on the postseason this year and need to start winning games if they want to get anywhere close to the playoffs.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• This is the first game that the Kings and Grizzlies will play against each other this season.
• Memphis and Sacramento will meet four times in total during the regular season this year.
• Memphis is 4-11 against the spread this year. Only the Washington Wizards have a worse record ATS.
• Sacramento is 5-10 against the spread entering Thursday night.
• The Kings have gone over the total in 8 of their first 15 games.
• The Grizzlies have gone under the total 10 times in 15 games.

Best Player Props to Watch

Kings vs Grizzlies Model Projection

• Score Projection: Kings 113 – Grizzlies 117
• Win Probability: Kings 43%, Grizzlies 57%

Final Thoughts

If you like cohesive team basketball, Kings vs Grizzlies is not going to be the game for you. Both of these rosters look so disjointed early in the season. But someone has to win this game and I think that the Grizzlies will be the team to do that at home. Expect the Grizzlies to take advantage of the defensive issues that the Kings are dealing with and for Memphis to get a win on their home floor even without their floor general Ja Morant.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.