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wisconsin vs indiana prediction and preview

Wisconsin Badgers vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction – 11/15/2025

Updated November 14, 2025 • 3 min read

The Wisconsin Badgers will travel to Bloomington to take on the Indiana Hoosiers this Saturday afternoon. The Hoosiers are undefeated at 10-0 and ranked second nationally. They are heavy home favorites as they prepare to host the 3-6 Badgers. Before kickoff in this Big Ten matchup, you can find my Wisconsin vs Indiana prediction below.

Our Wisconsin vs Indiana Pick

Pick: Indiana -28.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Wisconsin Badgers vs Indiana Hoosiers
  • Date & Time: Saturday, November 15, 2025, 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana
  • Broadcast: BTN

Key Storylines

  • The Hoosiers (10-0) continue their push for a perfect regular season and a spot in the Big Ten Championship. Their dominant offense has averaged 44.5 points per game. They also have a stingy defense that is averaging 12.1 points per game allowed.
  • Indiana’s QB Fernando Mendoza is in Heisman Trophy contention. He enters this game with 2,342 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions so far. His efficient play is a major factor in the Hoosiers’ rise to national prominence.
  • Wisconsin’s offense has struggled mightily. The Badgers are scoring just 12.6 points per game and averaging 255.6 total yards per game. Their last win was a 13-10 upset over Washington, came more from defensive grit than offensive firepower.
  • Indiana needed a late comeback in its last game against Penn State. They got an incredible late touchdown catch to win that game and the Hoosiers will try to win more convincingly this time around.

Quarterback Play

Mendoza has been rock solid, completing over 70% of his passes and throwing 26 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions. He has been great in the fast-paced system of Curt Cignetti. Wisconsin’s quarterback situation has been a complete disaster. The Badgers were led in passing by a punter last week, who threw for just 24 yards. Someone has to step up through the air for the Badgers.

Betting Trends

  • Indiana is 6-4 against the spread going into this game.
  • Wisconsin is 4-5 against the spread going into Saturday’s action.
  • The Hoosiers have gone over the total in 6 of their 10 games.
  • Wisconsin has stayed under the total in 7 of their first 9 outings this season.

Wisconsin vs Indiana Model Projection

Score Projection: Indiana 42 – Wisconsin 10

Win Probability: Indiana 95%, Wisconsin 5%

Final Thoughts

Indiana should be able to roll over Wisconsin in their matchup on Saturday. Indiana’s offense is hard to keep in check, while Wisconsin would just be happy to get 25 passing yards from a player after what we saw last week. I’ll lay the big number with the Hoosiers here, as they should move to within one game of an undefeated 12-game regular season.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Indiana Hoosiers, Wisconsin Badgers
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