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florida atlantic vs liberty prediction and preview

Florida Atlantic vs Liberty Pick & Prediction – 11/9/2025

Updated November 9, 2025 • 3 min read

The Florida Atlantic Owls (2-0) and Liberty Flames (2-0) will meet in college basketball action on Sunday. Both teams enter undefeated and looking to make a statement against another quality opponent here. Before tip-off from Lynchburg, continue reading to get my Florida Atlantic vs Liberty prediction for Sunday evening.

Our Florida Atlantic vs Liberty Pick

Pick: Over 151.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Florida Atlantic Owls @ Liberty Flames
  • Date & Time: Sunday, November 9, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Liberty Arena, Lynchburg, Virginia
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

Liberty enters this game with two straight wins under their belt. They won their first game against a Division I opponent on Friday, a 90-75 victory over Charleston. They have received a huge lift early on from sophomore guard Brett Decker, who is averaging 25.0 points per game through two games. The Flames shot 48% from three-point range against Charleston and will look for another efficient performance from long-distance to remain undefeated here.

Florida Atlantic is off to a strong start as well. The Owls opened the season with an 83-78 overtime win over Boston College and followed that up with a 94-77 victory over Charleston on Saturday. Their offensive numbers are encouraging and they will try to continue that trend in their first true road game of the 2025-26 season.

The fatigue factor will be something to monitor going into this contest. FAU is playing on the second game of a back-to-back here, while Liberty had a day off after their win over Charleston on Friday. It will be interesting to monitor how the Owls start this game and how they look late, when fatigue could become a major obstacle for them.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • FAU has covered the spread in each of its first two games this season.
  • Liberty covered the spread in its lone Division I matchup of the year.
  • The over has cashed in both of FAU’s games to start the season.
  • Liberty went over the total in its lone game of the year.

Florida Atlantic vs Liberty Model Projection

Score Projection: Florida Atlantic 78 – Liberty 83
Win Probability: Florida Atlantic 32%, Liberty 68%

Final Thoughts

My best bet for this contest is for the over to cash. FAU could struggle to close this game out given the scheduling demands that they are up against. But both teams should do plenty of scoring in this contest after efficient starts on the offensive end of the floor. Look for the over to hit here and for this game to be highly entertaining.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Florida Atlantic Owls, Liberty Flames
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