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tampa bay lightning vs utah mammoth prediction and preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth Prediction – 11/2/2025

Updated November 2, 2025 • 3 min read

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Utah Mammoth will meet in the NHL on Sunday afternoon. Utah is off to a great start to the season and they will look to stay unbeaten at home with a win in this contest. But they will need to beat a streaking Lightning team in order to accomplish that. Before the puck drops in Salt Lake City, continue reading to get my Lightning vs Mammoth prediction for Sunday.

Our Lightning vs Mammoth Pick

  • Pick: Utah Mammoth Moneyline
  • Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth
  • Date & Time: Sunday, November 2, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Broadcast: NHL Network

Key Storylines

Recent form

  • Tampa Bay is 5-4-2 overall this season and on a four-game winning streak. Their recent win over Dallas was a gritty 2-1 overtime victory and the Lightning have held opponents to two or fewer goals in three straight games.
  • Utah enters this contest at 8-3-0 and has a flawless home record of 4-0-0. The Mammoth will attempt to extend their unbeaten run at home in this game against a quality opponent.
  • The Mammoth’s only recent blemish was a 6-3 loss to the Edmonton Oilers, which snapped a seven-game winning streak.

Goaltending

Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into this game with a 3-3-2 record. He has a 2.61 GAA and a .899 save percentage and will try to shut down the Mammoth here. Utah’s Karel Vejmelka has a slightly worse GAA than Vasilevskiy at 2.75, but he also has a 6-2-0 record thanks to the support he’s received from the team around him.

Key skaters

  • Tampa Bay: Anthony Cirelli has six goals and four assists in 11 games, leading the team in both goals and plus/minus at +5.
  • Utah: Nick Schmaltz is off to a great start to this season. He has 17 points and 10 assists to lead the Mammoth in those two categories.

Best Player Props

PlayerStatPick
Anthony Cirelli (Tampa Bay)GoalsOver 0.5
Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay)AssistsOver 0.5
Anthony Cirelli (Tampa Bay)PointsOver 0.5
Nick Schmaltz (Utah)GoalsOver 0.5

Betting Trends & H2H

  • This is the first of two regular-season meetings between the Lightning and Mammoth for the season.
  • Utah is 7-4 on the puckline going into this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-8 on the puckline so far this year.
  • Both teams are 5-6 on over/unders heading into this game.

Lightning vs Mammoth Model Projection

Score Projection: Utah Mammoth 4 – Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Win Probability: Utah 56%, Tampa Bay 44%

Final Thoughts

We should see a close game between these two teams that are playing at a very high level entering Sunday afternoon. The Mammoth are perfect at home, while the Lightning are on fire of late. But I’ll take the Mammoth to win this game on home ice and to continue their perfect start on home ice, as I’m expecting a great game from Schmaltz once again to lead them.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Tampa Bay Lightning, utah mammoth
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