The Calgary Flames will head East to face the Ottawa Senators on Thursday night. Ottawa had a three-game winning streak snapped in their last game, while the Flames are off to a dismal start and desperate to turn things around themselves. Before the action begins in Ottawa, continue reading to get my breakdown of this contest, including my Flames vs Senators prediction.
Our Flames vs Senators Pick
- Pick: Ottawa Senators to win
- Confidence: 3/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators
- Date & Time: Thursday, October 30, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Recent form
The Senators are 5‑5‑1 on the season and arriving with confidence after winning three of their last four games. They did lose 7-3 to the Chicago Blackhawks in their most recent game on Tuesday, allowing a hat trick to Chicago’s Connor Bedard. But Ottawa has a great chance to shake off that loss and get a victory here.
The Flames sit at 2‑8‑1 and just ended an eight‑game losing streak with a 5‑1 win over the New York Rangers on Sunday. But they followed that up with a 4‑3 loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs on Tuesday. Their road record remains concerning. They are 1-5 on the road this year and 0‑5 in their last five away games.
Goaltending
The Senators’ netminding has been a weak point this year. Both of their goaltenders have GAAs of 3.44 or higher coming into this contest and they will try to repair those numbers in a game like this one. Dustin Wolf of the Flames also has a 3.44 GAA and hasn’t been any better for his team.
Key skaters
Drake Batherson and Tim Stützle both had huge nights against Boston, with two goals and an assist each for the Senators. Shane Pinto is also a threat in the attacking zone, leading Ottawa with eight goals this sesason. Calgary’s spark has come from Blake Coleman, who scored twice in the Flames’ 5‑1 win over New York. He has a team-best five goals this season.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Drake Batherson (Ottawa) | Over 0.5 points |
| Tim Stützle (Ottawa) | Over 0.5 points |
| Blake Coleman (Calgary) | Over 0.5 goals |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first of two times these teams will play in the regular season.
- Calgary is 5-6 on the puckline to start the season.
- Ottawa is 4-7 on the puckline going into this matchup.
- Calgary has gone 7-3-1 to the over through its first 11 games.
- Ottawa has gone over the total in eight of 11 games thus far.
Flames vs Senators Model Projection
Score Projection: Ottawa Senators 3 – Calgary Flames 1
Win Probability: Ottawa Senators 65%, Calgary Flames 35%
Final Thoughts
The Senators have the upper hand in terms of recent performance, roster quality, and home‑ice advantage. The Flames have struggled on the road throughout the early portions of this season and I expect that to continue in this game as well. I’ll take the Senators to win at home on the moneyline over a Flames team that should drop to 1-6-0 away from Scotiabank Saddledome.
