The Calgary Flames will face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night. After ending a long losing streak with a commanding 5-1 win over the New York Rangers, the Flames aim to carry that momentum into a win in this matchup. Before this game between Canadian teams begins in the NHL, continue reading to get my Flames vs Maple Leafs prediction.
Our Flames vs Maple Leafs Pick
- Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date & Time: Tuesday, October 28, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Recent Form: The Flames snapped an eight-game losing streak with a 5-1 win over the Rangers. But the Flames have averaged just two goals per game this season and they need more consistent contributions from their attacking players. The Maple Leafs are 4-4-1, with a strong home record of 4-2-1. They got an overtime win over the Buffalo Sabres in their last game and they will try to get a second win in a row on home ice here.
- Goaltending: Dustin Wolf leads the Flames with a 3.37 GAA and .886 SV%. Toronto’s Anthony Stolarz should get the start for the Leafs with a .885 SV% and 3.31 GAA this season. He will try to give the Leafs an edge in this contest.
- Key Skaters: Blake Coleman leads the Flames with five goals, while Nazem Kadri has a team-high seven points. Toronto’s William Nylander leads the team with 14 points, including three goals and 11 assists. John Tavares leads the Leafs with five goals.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| William Nylander | Anytime Goal Scorer |
| Blake Coleman | Anytime Goal Scorer |
| Nazem Kadri | Over 0.5 Assists |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Calgary is 4-6 on the puckline to start the season.
- Toronto is 2-7 on the puckline to begin this year.
- The Flames are 6-3-1 toward the over when it comes to their over/unders.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total seven times in nine outings.
- This is the first of two games these teams will play against one another this season.
Flames vs Maple Leafs Model Projection
- Score Projection: Flames 2 – Maple Leafs 4
- Win Probability: Flames 35%, Maple Leafs 65%
Final Thoughts
While the Flames are coming off a much-needed victory, the Maple Leafs’ offensive depth and solid goaltending give them the edge in this matchup. With the Flames’ 1-4 record on the road and the Leafs’ strong home track record, Toronto should cover the puckline as a favorite here. Consider betting on the Leafs to win by at least two goals, as Nylander and Tavares should help Toronto get a second straight victory in the start of a 16-game night in the NHL.
