The Memphis Grizzlies (2-1) will visit the Golden State Warriors (2-1) at Chase Center on Monday night. Both teams enter the game with identical records, but the Grizzlies face significant challenges due to injuries, while the Warriors are heavy favorites on their home floor. Before tip-off from San Francisco, continue reading to get my Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction for Monday’s matchup.
Our Grizzlies vs Warriors Pick
- Pick: Golden State Warriors -8.5
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors
- Date & Time: Monday, October 27, 2025, 10:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Injuries: The Grizzlies are significantly impacted by injuries. Key players such as Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ty Jerome, and Scotty Pippen Jr. are sidelined. Ja Morant is expected to play for Memphis, though, and he will try to help his team overcome plenty of adversity in this contest from the Bay Area.
- Warriors’ Form: Golden State has started the season strong, with Stephen Curry leading the charge. Curry is averaging 33.3 points per game with exceptional shooting efficiency. He is shooting 52.5% from the field, 45.7% from three-point range, and a perfect 100% from the free-throw line. His performance has been instrumental in the Warriors’ early success.
- Team Depth: The Warriors’ depth has been a significant advantage, with contributions from players like Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, and Jonathan Kuminga. The team’s ability to get contributions from several players has been a key factor in their victories.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Recent Meetings: The Warriors have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Grizzlies, winning three of their four meetings last season. This is the first of their regular-season meetings this year.
- ATS Records: Both teams are 2-1 against the spread going into this matchup.
- O/U Trends: The Warriors have gone over the total in each of their first three games this season. Memphis has gone over the total in two of its first three games entering Monday’s game.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | Over 26.5 Points |
| Ja Morant | Under 24.5 Points |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | Over 5.5 Rebounds |
| Draymond Green | Over 6.5 Rebounds |
Grizzlies vs Warriors Model Projection
- Score Projection: Grizzlies 110 – Warriors 125
- Win Probability: Grizzlies 31%, Warriors 69%
Final Thoughts
If these teams were fully healthy, I would probably expect the Grizzlies to keep things close against the Warriors. But the reality right now is that the Grizzlies are not close to fully healthy at this point in time. Golden State should take full advantage of all of the injuries that the Grizzlies are nursing. I’ll lay the points with Golden State in this matchup, as they should put up another big number on the scoreboard to move to 3-1 early in the 2025-26 season.
