The Oklahoma State Cowboys (1–6, 0–4 Big 12) will travel to Lubbock to face the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6–1, 3–1 Big 12) on Saturday. With the Cowboys struggling to find their footing this season, and the Red Raiders aiming to bounce back after a loss, the Red Raiders are heavy favorites at home in this contest. Before kickoff in this Big 12 matchup, continue reading to get my Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech prediction.
Our Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech Pick
- Pick: Texas Tech -36.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT
- Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
- Broadcast: ESPNU
Key Storylines
- Oklahoma State’s Struggles: The Cowboys are enduring a challenging season. They are 1-6 on the season so far and 0-4 in the Big 12. They have lost 13 consecutive Big 12 games. Their sole win this season came against Tennessee Martin, and they have been blown out time and time again over the course of the season.
- Texas Tech’s Offensive Prowess: Despite a recent setback against Arizona State, the Red Raiders have the nation’s third-best offense, averaging 517.9 yards per game. Backup quarterback Will Hammond has stepped up admirably in place of the injured Behren Morton, contributing both in the air and on the ground. The Red Raiders hope their offense will help them get back into the win column here.
- Coaching Changes at Oklahoma State: Following the dismissal of longtime head coach Mike Gundy, Doug Meacham has taken the helm. But the transition has yet to yield positive results, with the team continuing to struggle.
Quarterback Play
Oklahoma State has faced significant challenges at the quarterback position. Redshirt freshman Zane Flores has struggled, while senior Sam Jackson V has transitioned from wide receiver to quarterback. He brings athleticism but has struggled with his production. Texas Tech’s Will Hammond has demonstrated poise and capability, even in the loss to Arizona State.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Oklahoma State is 1-6 against the spread this season.
- Texas Tech is 6-1 against the spread on the year.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Oklahoma State’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone under in 4 of Texas Tech’s last 5 games.
Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech Model Projection
- Score Projection: Oklahoma State 10 – Texas Tech 52
- Win Probability: Oklahoma State 5%, Texas Tech 95%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see a blowout between Oklahoma State and Texas Tech on Saturday afternoon. The Cowboys have been one of the worst teams in all of FBS football this season, not just among power conference teams. Their struggles will continue against a potent Texas Tech offense that is hungry to bounce back after their first loss of the season.
