The Green Bay Packers will face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football in Week 8 of the NFL season. This game will reunite Aaron Rodgers of the Steelers with his old team in a matchup between two teams with winning records. Before this contest between these two storied franchises, continue reading to get my Packers vs Steelers prediction.
Our Packers vs Steelers Pick
- Pick: Under 45.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers
- Date & Time: Sunday, October 26, 2025, 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: NBC
Packers vs Steelers Odds
| Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Packers -2.5 | Packers -155 / Steelers +130 | Over/Under 45.5 |
Key Storylines
- Aaron Rodgers’ Return: This game marks the first time Aaron Rodgers will face the Packers since his departure. His performance will be under scrutiny as he leads the Steelers’ offense with all of the attention on him given the storyline surrounding him and Green Bay.
- Packers’ Defensive Challenges: The Packers are dealing with injuries on the defensive line, including the potential absence of Lukas Van Ness and Devonte Wyatt. Their ability to pressure Rodgers will be crucial and they will have to rely even more heavily on Micah Parsons to generate that pressure.
- Steelers’ Offensive Boost: Wide receiver Calvin Austin is expected to return, adding depth to the Steelers’ receiving corps and providing Rodgers with another weapon to help get some of the attention off of DK Metcalf.
Quarterback Play
Aaron Rodgers has been performing at a high level for the Steelers. He has thrown for 1,270 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. His experience and familiarity with the Packers’ defense could give him an edge in this matchup. But Rodgers needs to make sure to play within himself and not make bad decisions due to the emotions behind this matchup.
Jordan Love has shown promise for the Packers and will look to prove that the Packers made the right decision by making Love the face of the franchise and sending Rodgers packing. Love has thrown 10 touchdown passes and two interceptions going into this Week 8 matchup.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Packers: The Packers are 1-1-1 on the road this season. Green Bay is 2-4 against the spread for the season and 3-3 on over/unders.
- Steelers: The Steelers have gone 2-1 at home this year. They are 3-3 against the spread this year and have gone over the total in four of their first six games.
Packers vs Steelers Model Projection
Score Projection: Packers 23 – Steelers 20
Win Probability: Packers 55%, Steelers 45%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this game is for the Steelers and Packers to combine to stay under the total in their game on Sunday night. Both of these teams are very good at getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks. I think we will see them do plenty of that in this game to keep the offenses out of rhythm. Look for the winner of this game to score in the low-20s and for the under to cash in Pittsburgh.
