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texas a&m vs arkansas prediction and preview

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Pick & Prediction – 10/18/2025

Updated October 17, 2025 • 3 min read

The Texas A&M Aggies are 6-0 going into Saturday’s matchup against the Arkansas Razorbacks. A&M is favored by a little more than a touchdown and they will try to keep their unbeaten season going in Fayetteville. Here, I will let you know if I think that will happen, as I make my Texas A&M vs Arkansas prediction.

Our Texas A&M vs Arkansas Pick

  • Pick: Texas A&M –7.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks
  • Date & Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Odds

MarketOdds
SpreadTexas A&M –7.5
MoneylineTexas A&M –280 | Arkansas +230
TotalOver/Under 58.5 points

Key Storylines

  • Rivalry returns to Fayetteville: This will be the first time since 2013 that the game is held on Arkansas’ home field. Many previous meetings occurred at a neutral site in Arlington. But the undefeated Aggies will have to overcome being on the road in this conference contest.
  • Injury at running back for A&M: Le’Veon Moss is the team’s lead back. He is sidelined with an ankle injury. He has 389 rushing yards and six touchdowns on 70 carries. Replacement Rueben Owens II is expected to absorb the workload.
  • Arkansas’ coaching shakeup: Sam Pittman was recently dismissed and interim head coach Bobby Petrino takes over. Petrino is no stranger to A&M, having served as their offensive coordinator in the past. The Razorbacks will hope to have the same level of success under Petrino that they did when he ran their program in the past.
  • Defensive matchup: Arkansas ranks near the bottom of the country in points per game allowed (114th), while A&M boasts a top-tier defense. The Aggies will try to use that advantage to create separation in this game on the road.

Quarterback Play

Texas A&M’s Marcel Reed has developed into a dual-threat weapon. He has thrown for 1,490 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also has a willingness to scramble and has three rushing touchdowns for the year. In the absence of Moss, Reed’s ability to extend plays with his legs becomes even more important.

Taylen Green of the Razorbacks has the arm and legs to keep defenses honest. He has thrown for 1,654 yards, 14 touchdowns, and five interceptions. The question is whether Arkansas can protect Green from A&M’s pass rush long enough to let him influence the game.

Betting Trends & H2H

  • Texas A&M is 3-3 against the spread so far this season.
  • Arkansas is 2-4 against the spread going into this game.
  • Both teams have gone over the total in four of their first six games.
  • Arkansas is 41-36-3 all-time against Texas A&M. The Aggies have won 12 of their last 13 games against Arkansas dating back to 2012.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Model Projection

Score Projection: Texas A&M 34 – Arkansas 24

Win Probability: Texas A&M 71%, Arkansas 29%

Final Thoughts

Texas A&M should be fine in this game, even without Moss available in the backfield. I recommend laying the points with the Aggies in this game, as they should continue their run of dominance against Arkansas to improve to 7-0 on the season.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Arkansas Razorbacks, Texas A&M Aggies
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