The Chicago Bears (2-2) will face the Washington Commanders (3-2) on Monday Night Football at Northwest Stadium in Landover. This game is a rematch of last season’s dramatic ending, where Washington secured a victory over Chicago with a last-second Hail Mary touchdown. The Bears are looking to avenge that loss and build momentum after their bye week. Before this contest begins, you can continue reading to get my Bears vs Commanders prediction for Monday night.
Our Bears vs Commanders Pick
- Pick: Under 50.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders
- Date & Time: Monday, October 13, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
- Broadcast: ABC
Bears vs Commanders Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| WAS -4.5 | WAS -215, CHI +180 | 50.5 |
Key Storylines
- Revenge Factor: The Bears are motivated to avenge last season’s heartbreaking loss to the Commanders. Chicago has won two games in a row and is coming off its bye week. They will try to use those positives to lead up to a revenge game victory over Washington.
- Quarterback Play: Bears’ second-year quarterback Caleb Williams has thrown eight touchdowns to just two interceptions for the season. He has built a nice rapport with wide receiver Rome Odunze, who already has five receiving touchdowns for the season. Jayden Daniels came back from injury in Week 5 and led Washington to a 27-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. He has not thrown an interception yet this year.
- Wild Card Implications: Both teams are near the .500 mark for the year. They are not looking likely to win their respective divisions, but picking up wins in spots like this would be huge for their chances of securing a Wild Card berth later in the season.
- Bye Week: Chicago is coming off its bye week after beating the Las Vegas Raiders on the road in Week 4. The Bears have the rest advantage going into this matchup but that may not be enough to get them a victory here.
Betting Trends
- Commanders: Washington has a 3-2 record against the spread this season. They have won two games in a row entering Week 6. The Commanders are 2-3 on over/unders heading into this week’s action.
- Bears: Chicago enters this game with a 2-2 record against the spread during the 2025 season. Three of their four games this season have gone over their respective totals.
- Home/Away Splits: Chicago is 1-1 on the road so far this season. Washington is 2-0 at home and will try to stay unbeaten on their home turf in this matchup.
Bears vs Commanders Model Projection
Score Projection: Bears 21 – Commanders 27
Win Probability: Bears 32%, Commanders 68%
Final Thoughts
I expect the Commanders to build on their win in Jayden Daniels’ return to the field by getting a win at home this week. But my best bet for Bears vs Commanders is for the game to stay under the total of 50.5 points. The Commanders’ defense has allowed 13.3 points per game in their three wins this year. And with the expectation that Washington will win this week, I anticipate them holding the Bears in check to help this contest stay under the total.
