The Kentucky Wildcats will face the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday afternoon at Sanford Stadium in Athens. Both teams took losses to SEC opponents in their last game and will try to bounce back in this contest. Georgia is a heavy favorite as they look to avoid a second straight defeat. Here, I take a closer look at this SEC matchup and bring you my Kentucky vs Georgia prediction for Saturday.
Our Kentucky vs Georgia Pick
- Pick: Under 50.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kentucky Wildcats vs Georgia Bulldogs
- Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET
- Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
- Broadcast: ABC
Kentucky vs Georgia Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia -21.5 | Georgia -2500 / Kentucky +1050 | 50.5 |
Key Storylines
Kentucky’s SEC Struggles: The Wildcats have lost seven consecutive SEC games, including a 35-13 defeat to South Carolina in their most recent outing. Their last conference win was over a year ago and they will look to put an end to their struggles in conference play with a shocking upset in this matchup.
Can UGA Bounce Back?: Georgia lost 24-21 at home to Alabama in their last outing. That was their first loss of the season and Kirby Smart’s team’s margin for error in the race for the College Football Playoff has shrunk as a result of that game.
Georgia’s Offensive Power: The Bulldogs have averaged 34.5 points per game this season, with quarterback Gunner Stockton leading the charge. But they were slowed down by Alabama at home last week and will need to prove that hiccup is not a sign of a larger, more disturbing trend for their offense by performing well this week.
Quarterback Play
- Cutter Boley (Kentucky): The sophomore quarterback has thrown for 402 yards and two touchdowns this season. He is expected to struggle this week against one of the best defenses in college football in one of the toughest places to play in the sport.
- Gunner Stockton (Georgia): Stockton has been impressive for the most part, amassing 851 passing yards and five touchdowns without an interception. He led a respectable comeback attempt against Alabama last time out and will try to build on that through the air in this game.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Kentucky is 1-3 against the spread so far this season.
- Georgia is 0-4 against the spread through their first four games.
- Georgia is 2-2 on over/unders to this point in the year.
- Three of Kentucky’s first four games have gone over their totals.
- Head-to-Head: Georgia has a 64-12-2 advantage all-time over Kentucky. They have won 15 straight games against the Wildcats.
Kentucky vs Georgia Model Projection
- Score Projection: Georgia 31 – Kentucky 14
- Win Probability: Georgia 90%, Kentucky 10%
Final Thoughts
This looks like a great spot for Georgia to bounce back from last week’s loss to Alabama. The struggles of Kentucky in conference play should continue this week. Instead of laying the points with Georgia, I recommend taking the under, as Kentucky shouldn’t do much scoring and the Bulldogs will be able to take their foot off the gas in the second half of this matchup.
