The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers will face off on Saturday at American Family Field in Milwaukee. Both teams are eager to secure a victory given that there are playoff implications on both sides in this game. The Reds are currently in the final National League Wild Card position and will try to hold onto that spot here. Milwaukee is trying to lock up home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Here, I analyze this matchup and give you my Reds vs Brewers prediction for Saturday.
Our Reds vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Reds Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025, 7:15 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott (Reds) vs Robert Gasser (Brewers)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FOX
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Andrew Abbott (9-7, 2.80 ERA) takes the mound for the Reds. The left-hander has been a consistent performer this season, with a solid ERA and a high strikeout rate. In his last outing, Abbott delivered 4.2 scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs and he will look for a similar performance tonight.
Robert Gasser (0-1, 6.00 ERA) will start this game for the Brewers. This will be Gasser’s second start of the season and he will need to prove himself against a potent Reds lineup. In his previous appearance, he pitched three innings, allowing two earned runs on one hit against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Recent Team Streaks
- Reds: The Reds have won their last two games, including a crucial 3-1 victory over the Brewers on Friday. Their pitching staff has been performing well, with a 1.88 ERA over the last 10 games.
- Brewers: The Brewers lost their last game but they have been dominant at home. They have a 51-28 record at American Family Field. They are still in the driver’s seat for the top seed in the National League and will look to bounce back in this matchup.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Gavin Lux | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Elly De La Cruz | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 RBIs |
| Spencer Steer | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Brewers: Milwaukee is 51-28 at home this season.
- Reds: Cincinnati is 37-42 on the road for the year.
- Head-to-Head: The Brewers lead the season series 7-4 over the Reds, though Cincinnati won the first game of this series last night.
Reds vs Brewers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Reds 5 – Brewers 4
- Win Probability: Reds 56%, Brewers 44%
Final Thoughts
The Brewers have been the better team of these two throughout this season. But Cincinnati is fighting for its playoff life right now and they have the talent necessary to get a win in this spot. The Reds’ starting pitching advantage should be the deciding factor here, as I’ll take the Reds to win this game as a moneyline underdog to move to within one win or Mets loss of making the playoffs.
